US Boulogne vs Granville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
43
2º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 2
USB
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USB
2 - 1
STA
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 3
USB
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
USB
2 - 2
LEN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 3
USB
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 1
DIN
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
GRA
43%
27%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
GRA
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 4
BLO
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
GRA
35%
28%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |