US Boulogne vs Bastia-Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
30
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 3
USB
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
USB
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
USB
2 - 1
DIN
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
USB
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
USB
0 - 0
GRA
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia-Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FBB
4 - 4
DIN
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 2
FBB
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FBB
3 - 1
GRA
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 0
FBB
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
FBB
2 - 2
STA
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |