US Boulogne vs Dijon FCO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
6º
6º
27
3º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 51 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 44 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 43 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 36 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 34 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 27 |
17º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22.5% | 20.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 1
USB
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 1
USB
13%
18%
68%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
USB
1 - 0
VIL
38%
27%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
VER
2 - 3
USB
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
USB
4 - 2
ASB
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Dijon FCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
DIJ
4 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 1
DIJ
4%
9%
87%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
DIJ
0 - 0
SOC
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
DIJ
31%
27%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
DIJ
5%
12%
83%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |