Avellino vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 1
AVE
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
AVE
3 - 1
RPO
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
AVE
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAG
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 1
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TER
0 - 1
FRA
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 1
USF
22%
25%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
FRA
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
TER
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |