Avellino vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
AVE
1 - 2
PES
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
COS
3 - 3
AVE
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
AVE
1 - 1
PRG
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
GEN
3 - 0
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
PIS
2 - 3
VNZ
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
VNZ
2 - 2
GEN
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 0
VNZ
57%
24%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
VNZ
0 - 0
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
COS
3 - 1
VNZ
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |