Avellino vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
AVE
3 - 1
PIS
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 2
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
MES
35%
26%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VIC
2 - 1
AVE
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 1
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
RIM
4 - 3
TRI
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TRI
3 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 2
TRI
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |