Avellino vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 2
AVE
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 0
CAT
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
AVE
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 1
ATL
15%
27%
58%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
AVE
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
MES
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
VNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 1
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 3
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |