Avellino vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
TAR
1 - 0
AVE
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
MOD
45%
30%
25%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
AVE
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 0
SAL
48%
30%
22%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
ASL
1 - 2
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
ANC
2 - 0
TRI
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASC
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 0
TRI
47%
30%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |