Avellino vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
RAV
0 - 1
AVE
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
ABN
3 - 3
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
2 - 1
RIM
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 0
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
LEC
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
PIS
0 - 0
GRO
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 0
MAN
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MES
1 - 1
GRO
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 2
BAR
42%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |