Avellino vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
JUV
2 - 1
AVE
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
AVE
0 - 0
INT
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
ROM
1 - 0
AVE
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
AVE
2 - 1
VER
36%
30%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
COM
2 - 1
AVE
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
USC
0 - 1
ACM
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
TOR
1 - 0
USC
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
USC
1 - 1
SAM
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
UDI
2 - 0
USC
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
USC
2 - 0
ASC
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |