Avellino vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
AVE
4 - 1
BRI
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 1
AVE
57%
25%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
AVE
4 - 1
ARZ
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
USA
3 - 1
BRI
57%
27%
16%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
VER
1 - 0
USA
71%
19%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 1
USA
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
USA
0 - 2
BRE
49%
29%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 2
USA
54%
29%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |