Avellino vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AVE
2 - 2
FCC
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 3
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
AVE
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 1
TUR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 4
CRO
14%
22%
65%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
RPO
2 - 1
TUR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
3 - 5
TUR
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |