Avellino vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
46.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
3 - 0
NAP
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 0
AVE
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 3
BRI
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
COM
0 - 2
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
GEN
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 3
CES
68%
21%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GEN
0 - 1
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |