Avellino vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 2
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAR
38%
30%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 3
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
TER
4 - 3
LEO
51%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
TER
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
TER
1 - 1
PAR
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PES
3 - 3
TER
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TER
1 - 1
PRG
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |