Avellino vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
VER
0 - 0
AVE
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
JUV
3 - 3
AVE
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
AVE
1 - 0
INT
21%
30%
49%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ATL
0 - 0
AVE
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ASC
2 - 0
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
COM
2 - 2
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
SAM
3 - 3
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
USF
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 0
TER
50%
29%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
SPA
54%
29%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |