Avellino vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAT
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
AVE
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
REG
1 - 1
AVE
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
CES
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
REG
1 - 0
VIR
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
BRE
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 2
VIR
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAR
47%
27%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |