Avellino vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CAT
3 - 1
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 1
AVE
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 3
SAL
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
AVE
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 3
CAG
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
USF
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
TAR
3 - 0
VIR
30%
29%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
BEN
40%
29%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 1
VIR
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |