Avellino vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
TAR
30%
30%
40%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 1
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ACL
2 - 1
AVE
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AVE
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
SSS
3 - 2
REC
60%
25%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
0 - 1
SSS
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SSS
4 - 1
OLY
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIG
2 - 3
SSS
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SSS
1 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |