Avellino vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 1
AVE
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
RIM
1 - 1
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
AVE
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 1
REG
41%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
SPA
39%
31%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 1
TER
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SSS
1 - 0
SPA
47%
29%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
BEN
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |