Avellino vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
FER
2 - 2
AVE
29%
29%
43%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
RIM
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
AVE
28%
30%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 0
TER
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
AVE
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
SOR
1 - 2
SSS
31%
29%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 2
SOR
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SOR
0 - 0
NAP
22%
28%
50%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
GIU
2 - 1
SOR
36%
28%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SOR
2 - 0
VIR
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |