Avellino vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
0 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 2
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAS
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
NOC
2 - 0
AVE
27%
30%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAQ
63%
22%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SOR
0 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
3 - 2
SOR
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SOR
0 - 1
FER
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LAQ
0 - 3
SOR
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SOR
1 - 0
NOC
36%
28%
36%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |