Avellino vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
28.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
PRG
2 - 1
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
AVE
0 - 2
FIO
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
AVE
2 - 2
ASC
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
JUV
2 - 0
AVE
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
INT
3 - 0
AVE
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAG
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
INT
2 - 2
ROM
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
ROM
2 - 0
TER
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
ROM
1 - 3
JUV
35%
30%
36%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
TER
1 - 1
ROM
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |