Avellino vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
BOL
3 - 2
AVE
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 5
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
TER
0 - 0
AVE
61%
25%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AVE
3 - 0
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
RIM
0 - 1
ROM
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
FOR
3 - 2
RIM
33%
23%
45%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
FOR
1 - 3
RIM
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
RIM
7 - 0
ASC
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
RIM
0 - 2
FAN
80%
12%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |