Avellino vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
AVE
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 2
RPO
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAV
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 1
AVE
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 2
REG
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
RIE
0 - 3
REG
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USV
5 - 1
RIE
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 1
FRA
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 2
RIE
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
RIE
4 - 2
VIT
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |