Avellino vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 0
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
FRA
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
BIS
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 3
AVE
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
2 - 0
TER
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
REN
0 - 1
RPO
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
5 - 1
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
TER
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
USV
3 - 0
REN
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
TER
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |