Avellino vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
CES
4 - 0
AVE
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
AVE
0 - 3
REG
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
AVE
1 - 0
BOL
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 1
AVE
57%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
REG
0 - 2
VNZ
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
SAL
0 - 2
REG
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
REG
1 - 0
PRG
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
FIA
1 - 0
REG
50%
28%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
COS
39%
29%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |