Avellino vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
BAR
1 - 2
AVE
50%
30%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
ASC
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
NAP
4 - 0
AVE
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 2
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 0
COM
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
PIS
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 2
PES
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 1
PIS
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 1
PRG
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |