Avellino vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
PAD
0 - 0
AVE
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
AVE
1 - 1
UDI
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
AVE
2 - 0
VNZ
47%
29%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
CES
4 - 0
AVE
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
AVE
0 - 0
LEC
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
PIA
0 - 0
ANC
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIA
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
TAR
0 - 0
PIA
47%
30%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
PIA
0 - 0
PAD
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 0
PIA
53%
27%
19%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |