Avellino vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
ANC
3 - 1
AVE
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
AVE
0 - 0
GEN
50%
29%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
COS
2 - 1
AVE
38%
30%
33%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
REG
0 - 0
AVE
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
PIA
0 - 1
REG
41%
28%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
ASS
3 - 0
PIA
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
PIA
0 - 0
LIC
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 2
PIA
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
PIA
1 - 1
BAR
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |