Avellino vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
AVE
59%
26%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
AVE
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
FCC
3 - 1
AVE
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 0
REG
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
BRI
2 - 0
PIA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
PIA
1 - 0
USF
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
PES
2 - 1
PIA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
PIA
1 - 1
REG
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIA
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |