Avellino vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
GEN
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 3
PIA
24%
30%
47%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
AVE
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 1
FIO
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
TRE
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
VIC
1 - 1
PES
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
NAP
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
PES
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
PES
2 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |