Avellino vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
31%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
GEN
3 - 0
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASL
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
REG
1 - 1
AVE
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 1
CES
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
REG
1 - 0
AVE
60%
24%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 2
SAL
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
PES
2 - 2
PRG
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 0
FIA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 4
PRG
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
PRG
2 - 1
COS
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |