Avellino vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 0
AVE
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 0
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 0
SSS
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
AVE
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRI
68%
22%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
PRG
48%
30%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
COM
49%
29%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |