Avellino vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
FER
2 - 0
AVE
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 2
AVE
33%
27%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAS
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 1
AVE
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PAT
1 - 1
SAS
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2002 |
CRO
3 - 1
PAT
73%
16%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
PAT
2 - 0
GIU
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
PAT
0 - 1
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |