Avellino vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 2
PES
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
EMP
1 - 1
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ACD
2 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PES
1 - 4
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 1
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
VNZ
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |