Avellino vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
ASS
1 - 1
AVE
36%
31%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 0
REG
52%
29%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCC
59%
28%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRI
56%
28%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAR
43%
31%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 1
TOR
23%
31%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 0
PAR
39%
31%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 0
ASS
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
COS
1 - 0
PAR
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |