Avellino vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 1
PES
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
PAL
2 - 0
AVE
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
AVE
2 - 0
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 1
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAR
55%
29%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 1
GEN
51%
29%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |