Avellino vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ASC
2 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 1
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1974 |
AVE
0 - 0
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 1
AVE
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1974 |
NOV
0 - 0
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
TER
3 - 0
PAR
63%
25%
13%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 0
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
PRG
1 - 1
PAR
47%
32%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASC
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |