Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 1-1
Avellino vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 1
AVE
16%
25%
59%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 0
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
USV
2 - 0
AVE
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
JUS
0 - 2
PAL
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
TER
75%
18%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 3
PAL
15%
25%
61%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 2
CAV
82%
14%
5%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | -1 |