Avellino vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 1
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
AVE
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
AVE
4 - 0
USF
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
JUS
0 - 1
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAL
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 1
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TER
2 - 0
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 0
CAT
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 0
TUR
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |