Avellino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
16%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
VIC
2 - 2
AVE
74%
19%
7%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 1
TER
56%
26%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAG
29%
30%
42%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASS
40%
30%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
NOV
64%
24%
13%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |