Avellino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
AVE
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
FCC
3 - 1
AVE
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 0
REG
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
USF
2 - 0
AVE
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
AVE
2 - 1
VIC
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAL
51%
28%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 2
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
VIC
37%
31%
32%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
NOV
49%
30%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |