Avellino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
PES
1 - 1
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAL
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
USA
1 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
COM
1 - 1
AVE
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
REG
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
TAR
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 1
NOV
61%
25%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
USF
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
NOV
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |