Avellino vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SOR
1 - 4
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCV
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PRG
1 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
FRO
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SSB
2 - 3
AVE
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOC
3 - 0
PIS
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
NOC
20%
27%
53%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 1
FCC
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 1
NOC
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 0
FRO
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |