Avellino vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
4 - 0
AVE
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 1
VER
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
TER
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 2
RIM
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOD
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 2
ATL
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |