Avellino vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
25.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
AVE
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 0
SAL
48%
30%
22%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
ASL
1 - 2
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
AVE
3 - 1
SSB
45%
31%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
COS
2 - 0
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 3
USF
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |