Avellino vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 1
AVE
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
PIA
1 - 0
AVE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 0
ATL
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 1
AVE
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 0
TAR
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 1
SPA
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
0 - 1
MOD
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
USF
39%
31%
30%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
4 - 1
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 4
TER
36%
31%
33%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |