Avellino vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
AVE
0 - 1
ROM
42%
30%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
PRG
2 - 1
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
AVE
0 - 2
FIO
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
AVE
2 - 2
ASC
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
JUV
2 - 0
AVE
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
ACM
3 - 1
PES
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
FCC
0 - 3
ACM
28%
29%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
ACM
4 - 0
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
UDI
2 - 1
ACM
28%
29%
43%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |