Avellino vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VIC
2 - 1
AVE
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 3
GRO
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
RAV
0 - 1
AVE
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
ABN
3 - 3
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PIS
0 - 0
MES
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MES
2 - 3
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
VIC
3 - 1
MES
31%
27%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
MES
1 - 2
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |