Avellino vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
31.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
TAR
1 - 0
AVE
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
AVE
1 - 2
MOD
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
BOL
2 - 2
AVE
70%
19%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
AVE
0 - 0
CAS
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
PIS
1 - 0
AVE
65%
22%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
MES
2 - 1
ASL
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
PAL
2 - 1
MES
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
MES
2 - 0
COS
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
TAR
3 - 1
MES
39%
31%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 2
MES
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |